Saturday, October 24, 2009

Ace in the Hole

Balitang Kutsero
by Perry Diaz

My investigative reporter James Macaquecquec told me of a story he heard. The story goes: Gloria Arroyo was applying for a permit to build her own ark. “You need to put two of each kind in it,” said Noah, “so they can breed while afloat.” “Oh,” Gloria shot back with as much sweetness she could muster. “But I only need one each of my Cabinet, one each of my congressmen, one each of my presidential staff, and one each of the church men on my side to breed.” “Breed what?” asked Noah. Gloria hesitated… then said, “Corruption.” That’s Gloria’s Ark.

My other investigative reporter from Northern California sent me this report: According to Foreign Affairs Secretary Alberto Romulo’s report to President Arroyo, donations from various governments for Typhoon Ondoy victims have reached P4.41 billion. And more are coming in. Hmmm… that’s a lot of money to build Gloria’s Ark. I wonder if the Philippine government has established an accounting system to show how much money is coming in from donors and how much is going out to the typhoon victims. We just want to make sure that the kleptocrats don’t get near that money!

And the last thing we want to see happen is Gloria junketing again and dining in expensive restaurants abroad. The past year that she had been junketing, she used her P800 million contingency fund in addition to the P1 billion already budgeted for her travels. Gloria probably thought that the contingency fund is to be used when she’s short on shopping money.

Rey Arcilla of Malaya reported in his column that Gloria has authorized Romulo to host on Dec. 1-3 the Special Ministerial Meeting of the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) on the Interfaith Dialogue. The amount allotted for that event is more than P400 million!!! Holy goat! Where is Gloria going to get that money for this extravagant meeting! Madame President, the typhoon victims need the money more than the junketing foreign government officials!!!

And guess where Romulo was recently? He was in Paris attending the UNESCO General Conference. And guess where Romulo and Gloria will be going next? To Thailand to attend the annual Asean Summit Meeting. Reminds me of Nero who fiddled while Rome was burning. This time, Gloria is junketing while Filipinos are drowning.

Meanwhile, Rep. Satur Ocampo is renewing calls “to suspend interest and principal payments on the country’s foreign debt and instead use the funds for disaster response measures.” Of the proposed P1.541 trillion 2010 budget, P340.8 billion — or 22.1% — is allocated for interest payments! That doesn’t include principal payments. Wah wah wee! Kawawa naman kami!

Presidential wannabe Sen. Manny Villar is having fun with Wowowee host Willie Revillame in three early Christmas concerts in Cavite. Wow! These two happy-go-lucky guys are having a good time while Pinoys are suffering from the ravages of typhoons. Wah wah wee! Kawawa naman ang mga Pinoy!

It was reported in the news that Willie Revillame is “Manny’s ace.” Reminds me of a poker game called “ace in the hole.” Willie might just be Manny’s “ace in the hole.” But Manny should be careful not to mispronounce “ace” as “ass.” That could be very embarrassing. Imagine, “ass…”?

Rumor has it that Willie is eyeing the vice presidency or mayorship of Quezon City. Well, if I were Willie, I’d rather run for vice president. What does he know about running a city government? Look at Vice President Noli De Castro, all he does is cut ribbons and attend funerals. Pa bandying bandying lang siya! I’m pretty sure Willie would love to do that.

Sen. Francis “Chiz” Escudero turned 40 last October 10 but he decided to postpone his announcement of his political plans in 2010. The reason, he said, was so his party can focus its efforts on helping the typhoon victims. Well, at the rate typhoons are coming to the Philippines, Chiz might consider postponing his political plans indefinitely cuz he’s going to be really busy helping typhoon victims for the rest of his adult life.

Meanwhile, Chiz said that he favors abolishing the pork barrel system saying, “The current system poses a problem since we do not know where it came from or where it goes. I am in favor of abolishing the pork barrel system and institutionalizing line-item budgeting.” Wrong! We know it came from the taxpayers and we suspect it’s going into some politicians’ pockets. If Chiz wants the support of those who are running for Congress, he’d better not talk about abolishing pork barrel. They’d kick him in the ass for proposing that.

Did you know that First Gentleman Mike Arroyo’s look-alike pal, Jocelyn “Joc-joc” Bolante, is running for governor of Capiz? Well, Sen. Mar Roxas, Noynoy’s running mate, is pissed off cuz Joc-joc has been pirating members of the local chapter of the Liberal Party. Mar should have known long time ago that Joc-joc is a real “ace in the hole.” And I’m pretty sure Mar wouldn’t mind people mispronouncing “ace.”

Hey, finally, Mar and Korina Sanchez are set to wed on October 23 at the cavernous Santo Domingo Church in Quezon City. The couple want the big church to accommodate their relatives, friends, and the public as well. A reception was planned to be held at the Araneta Coliseum but the couple canceled the reception and decided to donate P2 million they had set aside for the reception to help the typhoon victims. That’s about $40,000 — twice the amount Gloria spent dining with her friends at Le Cirque in New York! Now, that’s a real wow wow wee! Bless your hearts, Mar and Korina.

By the way, Ombudsman Merceditas “Mercy” Navarro-Gutierrez — Mike Arroyo’s college chum — said that her office is still investigating Gloria’s $20,000 dinner at Le Cirque. She said that “the investigating prosecutor is thoroughly scrutinizing the case.” Well, the last time Mercy scrutinized a case filed against Gloria and Mike, it led to a bridge to nowhere. That’s what friends are for.

After months of dilly-dallying, former president Joseph “Erap” Estrada, who was forced to take a “leave of absence” in 2001, finally picked his vice presidential running mate — Jejomar Binay. Erap said that Binay’s experience as mayor of Makati City made him “his best choice for running mate in next year’s elections.” Indeed, Binay is Erap’s “ace in the hole” who is ready to take over the presidency in case Erap takes another leave of absence.

(PerryDiaz@gmail.com)

Friday, October 23, 2009

A sample of the passion fueling the Noynoy phenomenon

AS I WRECK THIS CHAIR
by William M. Esposo
from The Philippine Star

Renato “Rene” Santico worked for the government for 37 years. Rene retired in 2007 as Senior Vice President of the GSIS.

Rene composed a LETTER TO NOYNOY which he emailed your Chair Wrecker last Sunday. In a recent meeting, we personally gave Senator Noynoy Aquino a copy of Rene’s letter.

We now share Rene’s letter with you as it expresses the passion that’s fueling the Noynoy phenomenon in the 2010 presidential election (as shown in Noynoy’s 60% rating in the SWS September 18 – 21, 2009 nationwide survey).

A letter to Noynoy
By Renato Santico
October 11, 2009

Dear Noynoy:

Dr. Jose P. Rizal, in his timeless El Filibusterismo posed an eternal quest for the nation’s salvation:

Nasaan ang kabataang
Mag-aalay ng kanilang
Kasibulang buhay
Ng kanilang adhikain at sigasig
Sa kabutihan ng bansa.
Nasaan ang siyang puspusang
Magbubuhos ng Dugo
Upang hugasang lahat
Ang ating kahihiyan
Ang ating mga kalapastanganan
Ang ating kabalintuan.

Your father Ninoy, in his youth, dedicated his life in the service of the nation he so loved and in his final moment, gave his life so that the nation can be spared the wickedness of a leadership which stole the freedom, the liberty of the very people you now serve. Your mother Cory, likewise dedicated her life in the service of the nation and onwards in her more senior years continued to fight for righteousness and decency in the nation’s leadership and those who would govern in their own spheres.

In death, your parents, more than at any time in their lives, inspire the nation to aspire even more for a state of moral ascendancy, dignity, and sincerity in governance and in the Filipino society’s demeanor. They continue to move the spirituality of the Filipino to seek the righteous path so sorely lost in a bureaucracy buried in the mud of immorality and disgrace.

How sadly the nation is missing the two great people who have fought for them, who stood up against evil and oppression so that the Filipino will not want of liberty and happiness.

In the face of continuing evil so shamefully and so shamelessly perpetrated by no less than the leadership of the land, how sadly the Filipino longs for the empowering presence and protective love of Ninoy and Cory.

How lovingly the thought of Ninoy’s and Cory’s sacrifices as in Rizal’s “Mag-aalay ng kanilang kasibulang buhay, ng kanilang adhikain at sigasig sa kabutihan ng bansa” linger in the minds of the Filipinos.

Humility, righteousness, sincerity, dignity — all these we long for, all these are Ninoy and Cory. All these we miss because there is no humility, no righteousness, no sincerity, and no dignity we see from the nation’s leadership today.

But the Filipino has not lost hope. The genes, the blood, the hearts, and the minds of Ninoy and Cory are alive in you, Noynoy. You are of the flesh and blood, of the heart and soul, of the mind and conscience, of Ninoy and Cory. These alone give us hope that the virtues so eloquently displayed by your beloved parents can be reborn into the bureaucracy and into the entire Philippine society.

You can be no different from your source. The pure and righteous genes of your parents cannot bear a bitter and ugly fruit. You have time and again displayed the qualities that made your parents, Ninoy and Cory, the great people that they were in their lives, and the honored and revered people that they are in their death. We have no fear that you will be no different.

The fruit, taking after the tree, inherits the sweetness and beauty of the tree and propagates its lot. This is the torch that is passed on to the fruit. A torch that can be carried not better by anyone but only by the fruit. A task that can be fulfilled not by any heart but only of and by a hero’s heart.

In the face of the moral decadence that has so brazenly taken over the demeanor of the leadership of the nation, the Filipinos, once again as one people, summon the passion and the righteousness, the courage and resolve of Ninoy and Cory to reacquire moral ascendancy in governance; extricate the nation’s leadership from corruption, greed, lies, deception, injustices, profligacy and extravagance, perfidy, hypocrisy, thievery, bribery, gluttony for dirty wealth and redeem the nation from the ignominy brought about by moral decay and fixation to materiality.

You have that passion and resolve to lead the nation to the righteous path. In your very young age, your father, Ninoy, wrote to you from where he was because of his love for his people, and bequeathed to you the care and protection of your mother Cory and of all your sisters. He so lovingly wrote: I pray to God that you inherit your mother’s resoluteness and silent courage.

You have these qualities in you. We have seen these and more. The simplicity and temperance you have displayed in your years as a legislator have not gone unnoticed by us. But most of all, we see that the silent courage your father Ninoy prayed for to God to give you is in you. The courage displayed by your mother Cory during your father’s long years of unjust and cruel incarceration and up to his untimely death we saw in you at the deepest hour of your grief.

You indeed have the genes, the blood, the hearts, and the minds of your parents. You can do no less for your people than to use these which God gave you in leading us toward the path your parents so bravely and so selflessly pursued and gave up their powers and comforts for.

Nasaan ang kabataang
Mag-aalay ng kanilang
Kasibulang buhay;
Ng kanilang adhikain
At sigasig
Sa kabutihan ng bansa.

Ikaw itong kabataan na ito ngayon Noynoy, na katulad na rin na iyong ama at ina sa kanilang mga sariling kabataan at panahon.

As President of the nation, you will head the moral force in government. You will spread the epistles of moral governance to all and in all the departments and branches of government.

As President of all your people, you will serve as the living inspiration to local as well as national officials that dirty wealth, sinful comforts, stolen opulence, and immoral profligacy have no place in a bureaucracy where morality, righteousness, and fear of God reside.

Then, everything else will follow. Moral reformation will happen and the government, headed by a credible, competent, and honest President, will lead a satisfied citizenry aware that the people who lead them are there for their interest and for the prosperity of the entire nation. The bureaucracy, with strengthened rather than corrupted institutions, will be reborn to decency, honesty, integrity, capability, and competence.

And when crises and uncertainties come, you will have the resolute determination of your father and the indomitable spirit and silent courage of your mother and no way else will you proceed but the way of these two great Filipinos. (End of letter to Noynoy)

Do you think that people like Rene Santico will be swayed by the dirty, vicious black propaganda being funded by Noynoy’s rivals? Or would Rene Santico not think that indeed Noynoy is the good fighting the evil, as evidenced by the evil methods Noynoy’s rivals employ?

* * *

Chair Wrecker e-mail and website: macesposo@yahoo.com and www.chairwrecker.com

Thursday, October 22, 2009

The “Vice”

by Lito Banayo
from MALAYA

There is a metaphor used in the US of A to describe the office of Vice-President as “worth a pitcher of warm spit”. The uselessness of the office was ascribed to it’s being just a “waiting room” for death watch that may or may not occur. Taking off from the American presidential system, the Philippine Commonwealth had a president, Manuel Luis Quezon, and a Vice-President, Sergio Osmena Sr. The Commonwealth leadership went into exile in the United States after Japan invaded Manila, and the Japanese inaugurated a Second Philippine Republic (the First was led by Aguinaldo’s short-lived presidency). The president proclaimed by the Japanese was Jose P. Laurel of Batangas. His first vice-president was Don Benigno Aquino Sr., father of Ninoy.

By the time MacArthur “liberated” the Philippines, President Quezon had already died of complications owing to tuberculosis in Saranac Lake, New York. Sergio Osmena of Cebu was thus installed the second president of the Commonwealth, the first Philippine vice-president to succeed the presidency. But when elections were held for the presidency of the Third Republic, Manuel Roxas, the fiery orator from Capiz, defeated the self-effacing gentleman from Cebu. Roxas and his newly-formed Liberal Party chose Elpidio Quirino of Ilocos Sur, a three-term senator closely associated with Manuel Quezon. He chose Quirino over Quintin Paredes of Abra and Claro Mayo Recto of Batangas and Tayabas. Quirino became the second vice-president to succeed a president who died while yet in office.

The third “vice” to become president by succession was Carlos P. Garcia of Bohol, whom the enormously popular Ramon Magsaysay picked reluctantly as running-mate after the more well-known Arsenio H. Lacson, Mayor of Manila and native of Negros, declined his offer. A widely circulated story in political lore has the irreverent Arsenic telling off Monching Magsaysay, saying, “Malakas ka pa sa kalabaw, baka mauna pa akong mamatay sa iyo. Dito na lang ako sa Manila”. Monching died in a plane crash three years into his term, in Mt. Manunggal in Cebu. Thus did the low-key, often snubbed Garcia, the first truly dark-complexioned vice-president of the land, ascend the presidency. 1957 was an election year, and Garcia had to immediately launch his campaign for the presidency. He defeated the Liberals’ Jose Yulo of Negros, but his vice-presidential candidate, Jose B. Laurel Jr. of Batangas, son of the wartime president, was defeated by Diosdado Macapagal of Pampanga. This is where the concept of “uselessness” of the vice-president’s position came in.

Previous vice-presidents were named to the cabinet by a grateful president. In the United States, the role of presiding officer of the US Senate was automatically assigned to the elected Vice-President. It is still largely ceremonial, because real power in the US Senate lies in the hands of the Majority Floor Leader. But in the Philippine setting, the “vice” was mere person-in-waiting unless the president gave him a cabinet position. So, Quirino was Roxas’ Secretary of Foreign Affairs, and so was Garcia under Magsaysay. But Macapagal was denied any cabinet position, and used up his four years, from 1957 to 1961 going to every municipality in the country, campaigning for the presidency which he won over re-electionist Garcia. His partner was Emmanuel Pelaez of Misamis, the first vice-president from Mindanao. But Macapagal and Pelaez broke off politically after just a year because of the celebrated Harry Stonehill scandal, which tarred almost every politician in town.

Notice that almost always, the then two political parties demanded geographic balance in cobbling up a national ticket. If a presidential candidate came from Luzon, the vice-presidential candidate must come from the Visayas, or Mindanao. Even in choosing eight senatorial candidates, regional or ethnic representation was ideally pursued. In the 1965 Nacionalista Party convention, Senate President Ferdinand Marcos, earlier turning coat from the Liberal Party to challenge Macapagal, chose Fernando Lopez of Iloilo, a former vice-president under Elpidio Quirino, over Maning Pelaez. All three were candidates for presidential standard-bearer, along with Gil Puyat of Pampanga and Dominador Aytona of Bicol. The convention was a tight contest, and only in the second ballot did Marcos win, over Pelaez, and third-placer Lopez. Puyat and Aytona had withdrawn after the first ballot, and swung their support to the scion of Ilocandia. Why did Marcos choose Lopez and not Pelaez, already the incumbent vice-president?

Lopez belonged to the influential clan that owned the country’s second largest newspaper, the Manila Chronicle , and a yet new broadcasting station that was to later metamorphose into giant ABS-CBN. The younger brother of Don Fernando also controlled Meralco, which was the power-provider for Manila and its suburbs. And the family exercised great sway over the so-called “sugar bloc”, landlords who were also governors and legislators for Negros and Iloilo. Interestingly, the re-electionist Macapagal and his LP chose a young congressman, like his father a brilliant orator, Gerardo Roxas of Capiz, as running-mate. The Marcos-Lopez tandem beat Macapagal-Roxas in 1965, though Roxas felt he was cheated. He ran for senator two years after, and topped. But then, seven years later, Marcos declared martial law. The Third Republic was dead.

Caving in to pressures from the American government, Marcos called for “snap” elections. What is germane to this article is how the administration chose its “vice”, and how Cory Aquino got her running-mate. In the ranks of the KBL, speculation was rife that no less than the strongman’s wife, the powerful Imelda Romualdez-Marcos, would be pushed into running for vice-president. Marcos was sick at the time with what was then whispered to be lupus that had metastasized into kidney failure. But Marcos decided on Arturo Tolentino, the respected parliamentarian from Manila, defiant of the tradition and practice of a North-South geopolitical balance. Imelda, the political scuttlebutt then averred, “chose” Tolentino because he had little political strength to pose as challenge to her own widely-perceived ambitions of succeeding Marcos.

In the opposition camp, the choice had more drama. Salvador H. Laurel, son of the president of the Second Republic, had initiated the formation of a broad coalition of anti-Marcos elements, the United Nationalist Democratic Organization (UNIDO), in which this writer was backroom worker and deputy secretary-general. He had been proclaimed in June of 1985 as the presidential standard-bearer, should widely-anticipated “snap” elections occur. But the parliament of the streets, predecessor to what is now called “civil society”, ganged up against Doy and goaded Cory Aquino, the martyr’s widow, to run. It became increasingly clear to us who ran Doy’s backroom that Cory would run, but Doy and his traditional political advisers were in state of denial.

There is a bit of déjà vu on how Doy was deserted by his UNIDO stalwarts, the men and women who just a year and a half ago Laurel proclaimed as the “magnificent 58”, (after winning a third of the Batasang Pambansa in the 1984 elections), and how Mar Roxas looked behind and saw so few, when Noynoy Aquino decided to be the Liberal Party candidate for 2010.

Doy’s UNIDO was larger then than today’s LP. He had painstakingly put together an alliance of former Nacionalistas, Liberals, and regional parties, and the opposition then controlled a third of the Batasan. The Liberal Party today has at best a dozen congressmen in a 236-member legislature, although it has a sixth of the 23-man Senate.

But apart from being a chronicler of presidents and vice-presidents, this two-part article wants to give an inside view on how the “vice” is chosen, from the death throes of authoritarian rule to the birth of the Fifth Republic. (What is considered the Fourth Republic is actually a brief interlude between February 25, 1986 when Cory took over and the promulgation of the new Constitution in 1987, when a legal dictatorship existed, albeit with liberal and democratic practices).

Cory asked Doy to forsake his presidential quest and run instead as her vice-president. Even getting Cory to offer the vice-presidency to Doy was not easy. There was a certain personal distance between Ninoy’s widow and Ninoy’s buddies. Ninoy described Doy to me in Boston as his close confidante. They both suffered the post-war stigma of being “children of collaborators” at a time when being pro-American was a badge of honour. Both young men in the late 40’s, they suffered at being treated almost like pariah by peers and social equals, but that goaded both to redeem the tarnish to their name.

I gleaned some coldness in Cory’s face when Doy’s name was mentioned in private. It was, I am told, the same lack of warmth for Teng Puyat and Monching Mitra, Ninoy’s other buddies. All have gone into the great beyond, the last being Cory herself, in whose legacy Noynoy and the Liberals now stake their standards.

Be that as it may, my first recollection of a proposal to get Doy to be numero dos was in Tokyo, mid-November of 1985. Marcos had just declared his agreement to a “snap” contest over ABC’s Ted Koppel. Doy called me from the United States where he had been on a speaking tour, and asked me to rendezvous with him in Japan. Late that night, after dinner at Restaurant Hama in Roppongi, I got a call at my Imperial Hotel room from Lupita Aquino Kashiwahara, who was xtaying in the Akasaka district. For almost two hours, she and I debated what she proposed to be a “parallel presidency” where Doy would have great powers, as vice-president and prime minister (the 1972 Constitution promulgated under authoritarian auspices prescribed a presidentially powerful parliamentary system almost akin to the French model). I would have none of it, insisting on Doy’s experience and qualifications over Cory’s popularity.

Back in Manila, several meetings were held, day-in and day-out. A National Unification Council was formed, with then MP Cecilia Munoz Palma and former senator Soc Rodrigo as primary convenors. That led into more acrimony rather than unification. Cory had already primed Nene Pimentel of Cagayan de Oro, in case Doy would remain recalcitrant. Doy, on the other hand, had initially thought of Judy Araneta-Roxas as his vice-president, but then again, Judy had already joined Cory. Doy then primed Eva Estrada-Kalaw, Ninoy’s second cousin, as his possible “vice”.

This was when a frenzy of backroom negotiations took over the failed public unification conferences. It became family-to-family. Peping Cojuangco, Cory’s younger brother, started the talks with Doy and his older brother, Speaker Pepito. By then too, defections from Doy’s camp to Cory were made public. Parliamentarians who had won seats in the Batasan under Doy’s leadership started declaring support for Cory. Laurel saw the ground from under his feet turn loose.

After one such meeting held at the Lee Street townhouse occupied by Doy’s daughter Suzie Delgado, which was at the eastern side of the large Laurel compound along Shaw Boulevard, part of which is now owned by Manuel Villar and his wife Cynthia (the ancestral house bequeathed by President Laurel to his namesake the Speaker, once a defeated vice-presidential candidate), Doy conferred with me in his private study. “Cory and Peping are proposing a parallel presidency, similar to what Lupita told you in Tokyo”, he began. “Committed na daw ‘yung mga economic ministries — Finance, Central Bank, etc., kay Jimmy Ongpin and his group”, he continued, and then asked me to submit that same day a list of parallel cabinet positions.

With the help of another UNIDO deputy, Ric Golpeo, I made a matrix of cabinet positions. “If they want Education, we should get Health; if they have Defense, we should have Justice or Local Governments. Since they will have Trade (as part of “economic” portfolios), then let us have Tourism; Agriculture vis-à-vis Natural Resources; Public Works vis-à-vis Transport and Communications, and so on and so forth. We left if to Doy to fill in the names, when they became victorious.

But the snag in the talks came when the matter of UNIDO as party vehicle came, not in the “particion de bienes”. Cory wanted to run as Laban; Doy insisted it had to be UNIDO, which he argued was the party under which the re-energized opposition had won in the 1984 Batasan elections and which had accredited minority party status with the Comelec. A day before the deadline for filing their certificates of candidacy, Cory and Doy agreed to run under the UNIDO. The rest is history.

But what happened to the agreement on power-sharing after Edsa Uno is altogether another issue.

(banayo_at@yahoo.com)

Wednesday, October 21, 2009

Erap is just a legend in his own mind now

AS I WRECK THIS CHAIR
by William M. Esposo
from The Philippine Star

Convicted former president Joseph “Erap” Estrada was simply out to promote his 2010 presidential bid and not to encourage the unification of the Opposition. Only an idiot — a person who does not know the truth — would think that the Opposition could unite behind a one candidate for the 2010 presidential elections.

This façade of seeking to promote Opposition unity is easily expected from the man who postured as “para sa mahirap” (for the poor) in the 1998 presidential elections but ended up making the poor more miserable by the time he was shamefully ousted for plunder. Estrada was merely setting the premise for his own selfish plan to reside in Malacanang Palace again. That’s if the voters or the Supreme Court will allow him.

The other presidential wannabes of the Opposition erred when they played along with Estrada’s theatrical stunt of pretending to promote unity. They did this thinking that they could get the support of the pardoned ex-convict.

They were probably truants when the story about the scorpion that rode on the back of the frog in order to be able to cross the deep river was told in elementary class. As the story goes, the frog agreed to carry the deadly scorpion on its back thinking that the scorpion won’t sting as that will also cause its death by drowning. But the scorpion could not escape his nature and still stung the frog. And so, they both died.

By pandering to Estrada’s theatrics, the other presidential wannabes succeeded only in giving the pardoned ex-convict a semblance of recognition and importance. The rational decision would have been to ignore Estrada and consign him to a sorry footnote of history — a convicted president who should never have been entrusted with the power.

Instead of simplifying their task, the other Opposition presidential wannabes complicated it. Now they have a Joseph Estrada entering the 2010 presidential race along with a vice presidential candidate in Makati Mayor Jojo Binay and a complete senatorial lineup. Estrada is even boasting of fielding a candidate for the other 2010 elective public offices.

Luckily for them, Joseph Estrada in 2009 is no longer the idol of the masses that he once was. His transgressions destroyed his image with the masses. Today, Estrada is merely a legend in his own mind. The recently released SWS September 18 – 21, 2009 nationwide survey confirms Estrada’s eroded support base.

Asked to give anywhere from one to as much as three names on who would best succeed Madame Gloria Macapagal Arroyo, 1,800 SWS respondents nationwide preferred Noynoy Aquino, 60%, Manny Villar 37%, Joseph Estrada 18% and Chiz Escudero 15%. Because as many as three names were allowed to be given, the total exceeds 100% owing to the multiple answers.
There was nothing wrong with this survey methodology. It’s simply different from the other past surveys where only the top choice candidate was allowed as answer. This type of survey is very useful in determining candidate potential because it shows how the candidate rates in the voter’s radar of top three choices. Note how Gilbert Teodoro rated less than 1% in a previous single-choice survey but did 4% in the September multiple choices survey.

There was a Private Rider to the SWS September 18 – 21 nationwide survey where only one top of mind choice was allowed and this was discussed in the October 16, 2009 STAR story of Helen Flores (Rider survey data sourced from the ABS-CBN website). In this Private Rider of the SWS survey, the results were – Noynoy Aquino 51%, Manny Villar 20%, Joseph Estrada 11% and Chiz Escudero 8%.

The multiple choices and top choice results were consistent. The rankings were the same (Noynoy — Villar — Erap — Chiz) and merely varied in the percentages due to the multiple answers allowed by the other survey.

In both surveys, Noynoy Aquino dominated. Noynoy registered a phenomenal 60% in the multiple choices survey, leading the second placer, Manny Villar, by a margin of 23%. In the single choice Private Rider survey, Noynoy led Villar by a margin 31%.

In the multiple choices survey, Noynoy led Erap by a margin of 42% and Chiz by 45%. In the single choice Private Rider survey, Noynoy led Erap by a margin of 40% and Chiz by 43%. Noynoy’s lead over Erap was more than Erap’s 1998 vote total of 38%.

That Noynoy enjoyed wide margins over the second, third and fourth placers in both the multiple choices and the single choice SWS nationwide survey underscored his distinct advantage of being what is considered in marketing as the dominant brand.

Noynoy’s immense lead over his rivals would indicate that voters are deciding based on ideological considerations — good versus evil, trust versus distrust, people empowerment versus traditional patronage politics, and so forth. The ideological factor makes it extremely difficult for Noynoy’s rivals to narrow the gap. More than just the man to beat, Noynoy simply looks unbeatable.

Noynoy Aquino will pay a heavy emotional toll for garnering these amazingly high survey numbers. These will prod those rivals of his who resort to employing the wicked methods of evil men — to escalate and intensify their devilish demolition operations.

* * *

Chair Wrecker e-mail and website: macesposo@yahoo.com and www.chairwrecker.com

Thursday, October 15, 2009

De La Hoya desperately wants Pacquiao to loss

UNTOLD STORY OF PRE-FIGHT ‘MACHINATIONS’

DELA HOYA’S ADMISSION THAT HE SAW LOSS TO PACQUIAO A PLOY TO BOOST COTTO’S MORALE

By Alex P. Vidal


LOS ANGELES, California – The timing of Oscar De La Hoya’s admission that he saw his defeat to Manny Pacquiao coming when they fought last December 6, 2008 in Las Vegas, Nevada, could be a ploy to boost Miguel Angel Cotto’s morale and erase the stigma in Cotto’s heart.

De La Hoya (39-6, 30 KO’s), who retired at age 36 after absorbing a gut-wrenching 8th round technical knockout (TKO) loss to Pacquiao, recently told BoxingScene.com he already had the “bad feeling” that he would not win against the then 29-year-old Pacquiao while in his training camp in Big Bear, California.

He admitted having been “hit like no tomorrow” by his sparring mates who were beating him up weeks earlier saying “it was obviously a clear sign to me.”

A mouse that formed in De La Hoya’s eyes during the Big Bear training was reportedly inflicted by unbeaten featherweight Edwin Valero who was dismissed from the camp supposedly for violations of “code of silence” when he revealed to reporters he tortured the American golden boy but got no credit for the headline news.

De La Hoya also blamed, among other excuses, the lackluster set-up in his training camp saying “it was not going as planned.”

‘MIND-CONDITIONING’

Some ring analysts, however, believed De La Hoya made the statement to make it clear that Pacquiao was beating up a washed up fighter who could hardly pull the arrow as a matter of “mind conditioning” for the 28-year-old Cotto, who will stake his World Boxing Organization (WBO) welterweight crown against the now 30-year-old Pacquiao on November 14 at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Analysts said De La Hoya, who is rooting for the shaven-skull Puerto Rican dynamo, could be sending a curt message to Team Cotto not to be bothered by Pacquiao’s reputation as “giant killer” even if the hard-hitting Filipino lefty has deposited to the canvas in two rounds the dynamite-fisted Ricky “The Hitman” Hatton last May 2 to bag the International Boxing Organization (IBO) light welterweight championship.

De La Hoya, who owns Top Rank Promotion’s chief rival, the Golden Boy Promotions, considers Cotto as a lucrative customer and is priming him up for a possible rematch with WBA 147 lbs king Shane Mosley or the most sought-after client, Floyd Mayweather Jr.

A loss to Pacquiao for Cotto would bring De La Hoya and his ilk back to the drawing board to plot another mind-boggling assassination attempt.
A Pacquiao victory would mean Top Rank’s safe stay in the totem pole of money game and the right to stage Pacquiao’s richest battle either against Mosley or Mayweather Jr. who is asking a hefty sum to face the Filipino superstar.

INVASION

After the magnificent conquest of the six-time world champion and 1992 Barcelona Olympics gold medalist De La Hoya, Pacquiao was formally installed as best boxer pound-for-pound thus reportedly sending instant worries and fears to warriors in the welterweight and light middleweight classes who didn’t expect Pacquiao’s sudden invasion.

When De La Hoya as the godfather of heavier bombers fell, they tapped Hatton to next man the guillotine and stop Pacquiao’s meteoric rise. De La Hoya was so sure of a Hatton win that he made more pre-fight swanks than the sedate Hatton. Alas, it was Hatton who was chopped to pieces in brutal manner that prompted De La Hoya to boycott the post fight press conference to share grief with the crestfallen Briton in the emergency room.

De La Hoya’s total humiliation became the talk of the town.

The responsibility to halt Pacquiao on his tracks now rests on the fists of Cotto, the terror of Caguas, who will go to war versus Pacquiao armed with a record of 34 win, 27 knockouts and one loss as against Pacquiao’s 49 wins, 37 knockouts, three losses and two draws.

Much is expected of Cotto from De La Hoya himself. Observers said he might next advice Cotto to bring a revolver when he climbs the ring on November 14 to ensure Pacquiao’s elimination.

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

There should be more ‘Face to Face’ type forums

AS I WRECK THIS CHAIR
by William M. Esposo
from The Philippine Star

The “Face to Face: 100 Local Government Champions vs. 4 presidential contenders” (Gilbert Teodoro, Chiz Escudero, Manny Villar and Noynoy Aquino) forum that aired over Cable Channel ANC last week proved to be very engaging and informative.

What made it work was that the questions came from a field of local government executives who know their subject matter and their concerns. Also, by limiting it to the administration presidential candidate plus three from the Opposition with really good chances of winning the 2010 elections, we were able to focus on the four candidates and thus have a better appreciation of the values they each will bring if elected president.

By putting the presidential candidate one at a time for an hour each, we got a good glimpse of their preferred policies, communications skills, overall personality, grasp of the issues and capacity for grace under fire. It is presumed that the presidential candidates did not know what the others answered as they were ushered into the AIM (Asian Institute of Management) Conference Room, the venue of the forum, one at a time.

All four presidential candidates came out unscathed from that forum. The voters who saw it were the big winners. There was really no outstanding performance by anyone to cause a perceived shift in voter allegiance. They all proved that they were knowledgeable and can be the 2010 president.

Likely, the Teodoro, Escudero, Villar and Aquino diehards would remain Teodoro, Escudero, Villar and Aquino diehards after having watched the ANC forum. Where the ANC forum could likely make a difference is among those who have not yet made up their minds and were leaning towards two or three of the four presidential candidates.

Administration candidate Gilbert Teodoro displayed a good grasp of details. His position on attaining lasting peace in Mindanao is sound. He acknowledged that the role of the military is to hold the territory so that peace can be cemented in the conflict areas. He also acknowledged that only human development, dialogue and confidence building can really create lasting peace.

Teodoro made a good pitch for Charter change but it is doubted if many people will go for it because of the deep distrust that this is being undertaken for personal political ends and not really for reform. It is in this issue where Chiz Escudero scored well as the Senator from Bicol stressed that the current Constitution was never given a chance to deliver its full potential. Chiz made a good point when he said that implementation of the law, not Charter change, is the solution.

Teodoro called the 1987 Constitution as too reactionary (to the Marcos dictatorship) and does not provide for the growth needs of the country because of too much emphasis on checks and balance. He claimed that the problems of the Marcos era are already behind us. That is of course highly debatable.

The present regime Teodoro serves is responsible for many autocratic acts, the likes of which we last saw during the Marcos era. Among the biggest violations of the principles of checks and balance by the present regime are the constant recycling of cabinet nominees who have been junked by the Commission on Appointments and the refusal of cabinet officials to attend adverse Senate and Congress hearings. What we need therefore is more reinforcement of the system of checks and balance.

Villar made a good account of himself but obviously public speaking is not in his comfort zone. On the question whether he will allow the local government units a greater revenue percentage allocation, Villar’s scored well by focusing on increasing the size of the pie instead of the percentage share of the pie.

Noynoy Aquino was a big revelation to many folks who have not really seen him in action. His relative obscurity compared to his presidential rivals plus the snide remarks of his detractors created the low expectation that worked greatly in his favor. A very high expectation can work against a candidate during a forum. Failure to live up to the high expectation could mean voter shift.

Noynoy stood up every time he answered a question — the only forum speaker to do so. This enhanced his image of being a respectful, deferring and humble person. He was also the most relaxed and even cracked some jokes — something that was sure to endear him further to people.

Noynoy was consistent with his core message of people empowerment as the real solution to our socio-economic problems. Only an empowered citizenry can make our democracy work and bridge the Wealth Gap.

On the VFA (Visiting Forces Agreement) issue, Noynoy was the only presidential candidate who made note of the foreign superpower agenda in Mindanao (which your Chair Wrecker had discussed in previous columns). More than the one-sidedness, the Philippines must see clearly through the geopolitical ramifications of the VFA as it could place the country as ground zero in the event of a US-China War.

It would be great if ANC can stage similar forums with housewives and mothers, youth and businessmen and professionals following the ‘Face to Face’ format.

* * *

Chair Wrecker e-mail and website: macesposo@yahoo.com and www.chairwrecker.com

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

Danding’s Choice

PerryScope
by Perry Diaz

In my May 27, 2009 column, “Gloria’s Gambit,” I asked: “Would De Castro kowtow to Gloria? If he does, he will be taking a great risk of losing his base of support because Gloria’s ‘anointment’ might turn out to be a ‘kiss of death’ which could put an end to his political life.” I was right. De Castro turned down Gloria’s “anointment” and his reason was that it would be a “kiss of death.” Bingo!

And then I asked: “And what would happen to Teodoro? I would not be surprised if Gloria would use him as a pawn to sacrifice in her opening gambit… unless he changes his mind and settles as De Castro’s vice presidential running mate.” Well, the question is now academic since it was predicated on De Castro accepting Gloria’s “anointment.” Secretary of Defense Gilberto “Gibo” Teodoro is now the choice of the Executive Committee of Lakas-Kampi-CMD, PaLaKa for short, as their standard bearer. They also selected Secretary of the Department of Interior and Local Government Ronaldo “Ronnie” Puno as his vice presidential running mate.

In a few days, Gibo’s former political party, the Nationalist People’s Coalition (NPC), will be selecting its presidential and vice presidential candidates. For its standard bearer, the odds-on favorite is Sen. Francis “Chiz” Escudero, who just turned 40 years old — the minimum age for presidential candidates — last October 10. Sen. Loren Legarda is believed to be their choice for vice presidential candidate.

Now, the question is: Who are the people who would support Chiz and bankroll his campaign? This brings us squarely on Eduardo “Danding” Cojuangco, the founder and power behind NPC. Is he going to support Chiz Escudero or his erstwhile “favorite nephew” and former political heir, Secretary of Defense Gilberto “Gibo” Teodoro?

A few days ago, Danding broke his silence and said: “I’m the founder of the party (NPC). I think I have to support my own party that I founded, I think it is but normal.” He also said, “One of my nephews left even if we did not ask him to leave. It only means that we are of no consequence to him. So why should that be a bother to me?” He was referring to Gibo who left the NPC to join PaLaKa to pursue his presidential ambitions. Danding unequivocally said that he will not support Noynoy nor Gibo.

Danding’s revelation changes the whole game. The “Cojuangco War” is no longer just between Noynoy and his cousin Gibo. It is now among three members of the Cojuangco clan: Noynoy Aquino, Gibo Teodoro, and their Uncle Danding whose choice is the NPC nominee-to-be, presumably, Chiz Escudero.

It’s interesting to note that it was Danding who prevailed upon Gibo to come back home to run for office in 1998. Gibo was at that time practicing law in New York. He came home, ran for Congress, and won. He became the leader of the large NPC bloc in the House until he was termed out in 2007. He then accepted the post of Secretary of Defense in the Arroyo administration. However, there was no evidence that he resigned his membership from NPC. This led many people to believe that he left the door wide open to go back to NPC and seek the party’s nomination for president.

It was only after he was required to join PaLaKa as a prerequisite to being considered for nomination that he formally affiliated with PaLaKa. On September 15, 2009, he was selected by the party’s Executive Committee as their standard bearer. However, his selection has yet to be ratified by the party’s membership.

But why did Gibo leave NPC? He could have stayed in NPC and still become its presidential bet. Somewhere along the way, a serious fallout might have happened between him and his Uncle Danding.

However, if Gibo had shown high poll ratings, I’m pretty sure that Danding, politically savvy as he is, would not hesitate to throw his support behind Gibo, regardless of party affiliation. Danding is a power by himself and NPC is just a vehicle to achieve political ends. But just like any other “vehicle,” it can easily be replaced. The bottom line is: If the election was held today, Gibo would lose miserably. In my opinion, that’s the primary reason why Danding would not support Gibo. Blood, after all, is not as thick as politics… particularly in the Cojuangco clan (“The Cojuangco Wars,” PerryScope September 22, 2009).

And who would Gloria support? In my August 18, 2009 column, “The Looming Battle Royale,” I said: “So, who do you think Gloria would support knowing that whoever her party’s candidate will be, would lose? There is only one person who would fit the mold of the candidate that Gloria would support… secretly. And that is Francis ‘Chiz’ Escudero.” Indeed, his “winnability” is much better than Gibo’s.

Chiz might attempt to assert his independence if he wins but that’s wishful thinking. The Arroyos and the Cojuangcos will own him and nothing will change. It will be “business as usual” with the Arroyo-Cojuangco business interests controlling the government… and, for that matter, the country. In the Philippines, politics is business and business is politics. And as someone once said, “There are no permanent friends and no permanent enemies, only permanent self-interests.” Yes, indeed.

To date, Gloria — who had previously “anointed” Noli De Castro who turned it down — has yet to “anoint” Gibo. She did, however, say that she was “elated” over the endorsement of Gibo by 49 governors. But “elated” does not translate to “anointed” or “endorsed.”

So, what’s Gloria really up to? In my opinion, she’s keeping her options open. She could eventually throw her support behind Chiz or Manny Villar… or even Erap Estrada. She would support anyone of the candidates who would dance to her tune. Remember, she would still be in control of the Commission on Election. She pulled a “win” in 2004 for herself. She can do it again for her “manok” in 2010.

At the end of the day, Gloria’s ultimate goal is to prevent Noynoy Aquino from winning the presidential elections next year. Follow the money and you’ll know on whose shoulders Gloria would be putting her political survival on. I said it before and I’m going to say it again: the battle for the presidency would be between Noynoy Aquino and Danding’s choice — and, possibly, Gloria’s “secret candidate” — Chiz Escudero.