Sunday, June 2, 2013

Can the Philippines defend Ayungin Shoal against China?

There is a growing segment in China that advocates military strike operations to resolve China’s territorial disputes with her neighbors, particularly the Philippines. With China poised to grab the Ayungin Shoal (Renai Shoal to China), what are the Philippines’ options? Or, is capitulation her only option just like what happened to Panatag (Scarborough) Shoal last year? Isn’t it time for the Philippines to enter into “strategic partnership” with the United States and allow the return of U.S. bases ?  Look at Japan and South Korea where American forces are deployed?  It’s inconceivable that China would attack Japan over the Senkaku islands unless she’s prepared to fight the U.S.  — PERRY DIAZ
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Strike when necessary in South China Sea: Chinese scholar

Source: Focus Taiwan News Channel
The red symbol marks the location of Renai Shoal, also known as Second Thomas Shoal, in the Spratly Islands. (From Google Maps)
The red symbol marks the location of Renai Shoal, also known as Second Thomas Shoal, in the Spratly Islands. (From Google Maps)
Taipei, May 27 (CNA) China should hit out when necessary to resolve rows over some shoals in the South China Sea that are unlawfully occupied by other countries, a Chinese scholar has urged.
In a recent interview with a Shanghai-based radio, Han Xudong, a professor at the PLA National Defense University, issued the call on grounds that it is hard to settle the territorial disputes in that region through soft power such as “diplomatic maneuvering” and China “should strike at any time when necessary against any attempt by other countries to take control of the islets there.”
“Diplomacy only leverages when backed by military might,” he said, questioning why China cannot make military moves now that the Renai Shoal and Scarborough Shoal are the sovereign territory of China?
Since China’s marine power now is strong enough to protect national interests and rights, China should exercise its diplomatic and military clouts interactively to achieve its aim, he contended.
Conflict between China and the Philippines over the Renai Shoal caught international attention last week after Manila accused Chinese warships of “illegally and provocatively” circling the area, foreign wire services reported.
The Philippines dispatched ships to Renai Shoal, also known as Second Thomas Shoal, in the Spratly Islands, where a handful of marines were living on a grounded ship — a former U.S. tank-landing vessel that was intentionally abandoned by Filipino authorities to serve as a base in that area.
Han said that the Philippines has long been coveting shoals in the South China Sea and taking control of them since its independence after World War II, at a time when China was mired in internal fighting and its marine forces were powerless.
Even until the 1980s, China’s Navy was still weak and those shoals in the South China Sea were beyond the reach of its power, he said.
The lack of attention paid to the region over the long term allowed the Philippines to send marines to station in waters near the Renai Shoal in 1999 and claim sovereignty over it, he said.
That same year, China’s embassy in Yugoslavia was shelled by the United States and the bombardment made Beijing realize the fact that it should strengthen its marine power to safeguard its maritime interests.
(By Lawrence Chiu and Flor Wang)

Brave words don’t stop bullies

ON DISTANT SHORE
By Val G. Abelgas 
Mischief Reef
Mischief Reef
AMID the escalating tensions in the South China Sea, the United States remains non-committal, emboldening China to intensify its aggressive behavior in the disputed waters and to continue its bullying tactics over its neighboring countries.
The silence of the American government followed the intrusion early this month by a fleet of Chinese fishing vessels, two large civilian ships and a Chinese Navy frigate in the waters surrounding the Ayungin Reef, and the arrogant declaration by Chinese government that the disputed islands belong to China.
“The Ren’ai Jiao is part of the Nansha Islands, and that China has indisputable sovereignty over the Nansha Islands and their adjacent waters. Chinese public service vessels are entitled to patrol there,” a Chinese foreign ministry spokesman said.
Philippine Marines deployed to Ayungin Shoal
Philippine Marines deployed to Ayungin Shoal
In response to China’s brazen arrogance, both President Aquino and Defense Secretary Voltaire Gazmin showed some bravado by declaring that the Ayungin Shoal belongs to the Philippines and that the military is ready to defend the country’s claim over the islands.
“We have a clear message to the world: The Philippines is for Filipinos, and we have the capability to resist bullies entering our backyard,” the President boldly declared during the 115th anniversary of the Philippine Navy.
“It’s part of our continental shelf and it’s not disputed as far as we are concerned, it’s ours so why should we leave,” Gazmin told reporters at Camp Aguinaldo. “Up to the last soldier standing, we will fight for what is ours.”
While we laud and believe in the courage of both the President and the defense chief, the subsequent actions of the Aquino administration and the military belied the strength of their words.
Gazmin said he would send an unarmed navy boat to send supplies to a small Philippine contingent aboard RPS Sierra Madre, which was intentionally grounded on a nearby shoal to establish a military detachment. Why unarmed? How can an unarmed navy boat “defend what is ours” against an armed Chinese frigate?
Amid the brazen incursion, deputy presidential spokesperson Abigail Valte said the country will exercise maximum restraint and will stick to diplomacy in addressing the situation. Under the circumstances, of course, the Philippines has no recourse but to pursue its pending legal action before an international tribunal for arbitration.
The trouble with international arbitration is that it could take years and there is not even a clear assurance that the country would gain legal victory. And even if the Philippine wins its case, there is still the problem of enforcement. The United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea does not contain any provision on enforcement.
The Chinese government has understandably rejected any form of arbitration because their claim does not stand on legal ground. In the meantime, the Chinese are slowly occupying the disputed islands and shoals in what is called “creeping occupation.”
Scarborough Shoal
Scarborough Shoal
In 1993, the Chinese started occupying Panganiban or Mischief Reef near Ayungin, and last year, began occupying Panatag or Scarborough Shoal off Zambales. In 1974, China gained actual occupation by seizing the Paracel Group after a brief battle with Vietnamese troops, killing 54 Vietnamese in the process.
To establish occupation, the Chinese have elevated Xisha (Paracel), Zhongsha (Macclesfield bank), and Nansha (Spratlys) islands to “prefecture status” under Sansha city from their previous county-level status. Chinese officials said the establishment of Sansha, which means “city of three sands,” would enhance China’s administrative management on the three islands. In fact, China is planning to open the city to Chinese tourists.
Sansha City
Sansha City
The Philippines, again, protested the establishment of Sansha City but apparently the protest – as other protests before it — fell on deaf ears.
How can Aquino boast that the Philippines is ready to “resist bullies entering our backyard” when it has not even tried to send one or two of its newly rebuilt patrol boats to confront the Chinese fishers even if they were escorted by a Chinese frigate? Why haven’t we sent these boats to patrol our waters?
The one time that the Coast Guard tried to stop Taiwanese fishermen from poaching on Philippine waters in the Balintang Channel earlier in the month, the Aquino government wasted no time in sending profuse apologies to the Taiwanese government for the death of one fisherman in what the Coast Guard said occurred after the fishing boat tried to ram the PCG vessel.
How can the Philippine military defend what is ours, “up to the last man standing,” when there is a not a single soul standing on the islands and surrounding waters to defend our sovereignty in the South China Sea?
Obviously, the United States is lurking in the background, waiting for the opportune moment to either intervene on behalf of its allies or, sadly, to take advantage of the deepening crisis to pressure the Philippines to allow US ships to use the country’s ports and airports as launching bases for its jets and ships, or to allow the return of the US bases.
In the meantime, outside of its legal case before the international tribunal, the Philippines has to match the aggressiveness of China in boosting its claims by establishing occupation in the remaining islands. The country has a civilian population in the Kalayaan Island but still has to put up even military garrisons in the bigger islands or shoals.
“By analogy, if you have a property abandoned, your presence is unseen, then you will invite squatters. This is how simple is our problem in the Spratlys. We have no presence there,” an unnamed Navy officer told Philippine Daily Tribune reporter Paul Atienza.
We simply cannot allow the Chinese to trample on our sovereignty by plain negligence and then file a diplomatic protest each time. If the Aquino administration is really adamant that the disputed islands are ours, it has to show it is really determined to occupy and defend them. Otherwise, we will lose them by default.
Brave words won’t help the country’s cause against a bully like China. Brave and well-calculated actions might.
(valabelgas@aol.com)

Obama the bridge over troubled islands dispute

By Catherine Armitage 
Brisbane Times
Hot spot: The Diaoyu islands. Photo: Reuters
Hot spot: The Diaoyu islands. Photo: Reuters
The sale of an island off the coast of Queensland, asking price $6.75 million, generates a few alluring ads in the real estate press and dreams of an idyllic lifestyle in the minds of real estate porn addicts. What couldn’t you do on nine beach-bound hectares with a four-bedroom house, a pool, a tennis court and a helipad?
By contrast the sale of an island north-east of Taiwan in the East China Sea by a Japanese businessman to the Japanese government for $30 million generates four days of anti-Japanese rioting in China.
The island is one of a group of eight, some of them merely rocks, known by the Chinese as Diaoyu and the Japanese as Senkaku. They add up to seven square kilometres which both Japan and China claim as their own, all the more loudly since it emerged that rich undersea oil reserves may lie nearby.
The Diaoyu islands is one of the few clear answers to the question Washington policy types ask themselves: what does China really want in the Asia-Pacific?
As China steps cautiously back into great power shoes, we don’t really know yet, explained Bonnie Glaser of the Centre for Strategic and International Studies in Washington at a talk for the US Studies Centre in Sydney this week.
But it’s a fair guess that China would like to see the US out of the region, said Glaser, who frequently advises the US government on such things. ”After all, we are interfering, from their perspective, in all their problems,” she said.
But that ain’t gonna happen, as Obama’s ”east Asia pivot” – wonk-speak for the reinvigorated US focus on the region – is supposed to make clear.
So it’s an excellent thing that China’s new President, Xi Jinping, heads to the US next month for a ”no necktie” summit with Obama.
The more they talk, the smaller the risk of miscalculation in what Glaser calls the world’s ”most consequential bilateral relationship”. And that means more idyllic islands, in the long run.

Saturday, June 1, 2013

Indian warships visit Malaysian waters

By A. RUBAN

The Star
Visiting battleship: One of the Indian navy ships which docked at Westport in Port Klang.
Visiting battleship: One of the Indian navy ships which docked at Westport in Port Klang.
PORT KLANG: Four Indian frontline battleships on an operational deployment to the South China Sea and the Western Pacific have made a port call here.
The vessels deployed on a goodwill visit between mid-May and mid-June are the INS Satpura, INS Ranvijay, INS Kirch and INS Shakti.
All four vessels collectively carry more than 800 crew members.
The five-day visit to Malaysia is led by Rear Admiral Ajit Kumar and includes several programmes with the Royal Malaysian Navy.
Admiral Ajit, who is officially in the country with the vessels for the second time, said he was looking forward to enhancing ties with the Malaysian armed forces.
He said a passage exercise (PASSEX) has been planned with the Malaysian navy and added it would contribute immensely towards furthering peace and maritime security in the region.
“The spectrum of this exercise encompasses both conventional war time drills and cooperative military action against unconventional threats in the maritime domain,” he told reporters at a briefing here yesterday.
However, he said the most important exercise during the visit was to foster closer ties and friendship between Malaysia and India.
“There might be times when both countries may have to work together, hence such port calls would strengthen this purpose,” he added.
On whether the ships would be open to the public, Admiral Ajit said he would make an announcement regarding the matter within the next few days.
There will be a dinner reception on the ship for Indian embassy key personnel and Malaysian officials on Monday.
The vessels will head to Vietnam next and then make a final port call to the Philippines.

Ramos urges neutral probe of Taiwan incident, reminds Pinoys of Contemplacion case

Making life worth living
By Ellen Tordesillas
Malaya 
FVR, giving advice as his patriotic duty
FVR, giving advice as his patriotic duty
MAKASSAR, Indonesia—Former President Fidel V. Ramos has recommended the creation of a neutral investigation on the May 9 encounter between a Philippine patrol ship and Taiwanese fishing vessel in the disputed maritime boundary that resulted in the death of a Taiwanese fisherman and sparked violent protests in Taiwan against the Philippines.
Ramos also stressed that almost two weeks after the incident, the results of the Philippine investigation “should already have come out by this time.”
Speaking to Filipino journalists on the sidelines of the Second General Assembly of the Centrist Asia Pacific Democrats International (CAPDI), Ramos drew from lessons in the 1995 Flor Contemplacion crisis and recommended that a “neutral country or group do a second investigation” in case Taiwan rejects the results of an investigation by the Philippine authorities even if he said it’s “a very valid honest, according to law, upright, and credible investigation.”
Contemplacion was a Filipino domestic helper in Singapore convicted for the murder of a fellow OFW Delia Maga. Raging public sentiments accused the Ramos government of failing to convince the Singapore government to stop her hanging. It took a while for the strained diplomatic relations between Singapore and the Philippines to return to normal.
“What is necessary is for authorities to come out with their initial investigation right away and pinpoint if there was indeed a shooting by the Philippine Coast Guard. Let them come out with it. If the Taiwanese say we want a joint investigation and the Department of Justice says, ‘No,’ let the Philippines finish their probe first and then later on, because Taiwan here is the aggrieved party, let a neutral party do the investigation as maybe agreed to by the Taiwanese and the Philippine governments,” the former president said.
Ramos, a former military general, said it is important that “the government of the Philippines …not delay action on the investigation.”
“After all,” he said, “it’s not so complicated.” He added that it’s not like an investigation of a series of slaughter in the jungle where platoons of soldiers are involved.
Ramos noted that the incident, which happened where the 200 nautical miles exclusive economic zones of the Philippines and Taiwan overlap, involved one vessel manned by the Philippine Coast Guard, which is under the Department of Transportation and Communication. The ship is owed by the Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources.
“No, those guards were there on patrol by orders of a superior officer. That superior officer must be taken also into the investigation to find out what were his orders,” Ramos said adding that’s the rule in the uniform services, which include the Coast Guard.
“You don’t you just shoot without asking for instruction from above unless your life is in danger,” he said.
The Coast Guard chief is Rear Admiral Rodolfo Isorena. The DOTC secretary is Joseph “Jun” Abaya, a former Philippine Navy officer and a graduate of the US Naval Academy.
The Philippines and Taiwan agreed on Monday to cooperate in each other’s investigation as the DOJ rejected a joint probe because of diplomatic complications.
The Philippines adopts a One-China policy that recognizes Beijing as the sole representative of the Chinese people and considers Taiwan a province.
Former diplomat and congressman Apolinario Lozada suggested that President Aquino tap Ramos as his personal emissary because of the latter’s stature as former president and connections in Taiwan.
FVR’s father, the late Narciso Ramos, a diplomat, was the first head of the Manila Economic and Cultural Office in Taiwan when the Philippines adopted the One-China policy in 1974.
Ramos said Taiwanese and Filipinos are the best of friends since 1946 when the Philippines provided sanctuary to more than 30,000 Chinese under Chiang Kai Shek who were driven out of the mainland by Communist forces. “They grew up and became prosperous. They are the parents of the present Taiwanese many of them are quite prosperous.”
Ramos said he has not been approached by Malacanang nor is he offering himself to be Aquino’s emissary to Taiwan. “I’m just giving out answers and advice through my writings in the Manila Bulletin. It’s a take it or leave it proposition.”
He said he feels it’s his duty to give out advice as an older Filipino, taxpaying citizen.
In the Lahad Datu,Sabah crisis last February where 30 Filipinos Filipinos were killed, Ramos advised the Aquino government to convene a national security council meeting. Aquino advised the former president to “write him a memo” on the issue.
Taiwan has suspended the hiring of Filipino workers and warned their citizens against going to the Filipinos. There are some 85, 000 Filipino workers in Taiwan and many are reporting hostilities against them.
Earlier Tuesday, President Benigno S. Aquino III said Philippine government officials are coordinating with their Taiwanese counterparts to resolve the issue regarding the reported harassment and assaults against Filipinos in Taiwan in the wake of the tension caused by the death of a Taiwanese fisherman last May 9 off Batanes group of islands.
In an interview after attending the 115th Founding Anniversary of the Philippine Navy held at the Commodore Posadas Wharf Headquarters, Naval Sea Systems Command, Naval Station Pascual Ledesma, Fort San Felipe in Cavite City, the Chief Executive said the Manila Economic and Cultural Office (MECO) representatives are holding dialogues with their counterparts to address the concerns of the Filipinos residing and working in Taiwan.
“At ang balita natin ay naglabas ang Prime Minister ng Taiwan at saka ‘yung kanilang Ministry of Foreign Affairs na dapat hindi imaltrato ang ating mga kababayan doon, at magkakaroon ng kaukulang parusa kung sino man ang mapatunayan na magmamaltrato sa ating mga kababayan—nagpapasalamat tayo doon,” he Aquino said.
The MECO has organized a team that will document reports of harassment and assaults against Filipinos in Taiwan and relay it to Taiwan’s foreign ministry.
The Philippine government is calling on the Taiwanese people not to harass the Filipinos there because they have nothing to do with the shooting death of Taiwanese fisherman Hung Shi-chen.
President Aquino directed the NBI to conduct a thorough, exhaustive, impartial and expeditious investigation of the incident. The NBI has given this case the highest priority
He said he wants the issue regarding the Taiwanese fisherman’s death to be resolved first before initiating a dialogue with Taiwan and other countries to come up with a fisheries agreement
“Tapusin na muna natin itong kasalukuyang na isyu, merong mga unang dayalogo tungkol diyan. Pero ‘yung sa fisheries ay ating pinaaaral ang mga limitasyon natin,” he said.
“Yung guarding the national patrimony provisions of the Constitution will come into play. So, after we finish this issue, we will talk to every neighbor that we have to ensure peaceful and equally prosperous relations with everybody,” he said.

China and India: Aircraft Carrier Plans Advance

By Zachary Keck 
The Diplomat
MIG-29-K.2India and China are both beefing up their aircraft carrier forces through the induction of new carrier-operated aircraft.
On Saturday India’s Defense Minister AK Antony commissioned the country’s first squadron of Russia-built MiG-29K at the INS Hansa Naval near Goa near the Southern tip of India. The squadron, which will be named INAS 303 Black Panthers, consists of 16 MiG-29K fighters some of which were inducted into the India military three years ago allowing Indian pilots to become comfortable flying the aircraft.
India’s Economic Times reported that, “The MiG-29Ks, with a range of 1,300km and a service ceiling of 58,000-feet, are capable of STOBAR (short takeoff but arrested recovery) operations. They are armed with R-73 and RVV-AE guided air-to-air missiles, Kh-35E anti-ship missiles, KAB 500KR/OD TV guided bombs and S-8KOM rockets.”
The 303 Blank Panthers squadron fighters are the first of what will be a total of 45 fighters India has agreed to purchase from Russia for over US$2 billion, including 29 more MiG-29Ks.
The newly commissioned fighters will continue carrying out training exercises until November or December when the Russian built INS Vikramaditya (formerly Gorshkov) aircraft carrier that is currently being refitted is scheduled to be inducted by India’s Navy. Delhi’s other aircraft carrier, the INS Viraat, is currently undergoing maintenance but will continue operating for at least the next few years and possible through 2018.
India also currently has plans to build two indigenous aircraft carriers (IACs). The first is a 40,000 ton vessel currently being constructed at Cochin Shipyard and is scheduled to be inducted into India’s Navy in the next four or five years. It will be placed in the water on August 12 of this year and will undergo its first sea trials 24 months after that, according to Antony.
While commissioning the new maritime aviation squadron on Saturday, Antony also marked the 60th anniversary of India’s naval aviation.
The day before the ceremony that Antony attended, on Friday, China announced it had formed its first carrier-borne aviation force. Citing PLA sources, China’s state media reported that the forming of the force— which will consist of “carrier-borne fighter jets, jet trainers and ship-borne helicopters that operate anti-submarine, rescue and vigilance tasks”— demonstrates that “the development of China’s aircraft carriers has entered a new phase.”
The reports also said that Admiral Wu Shengli, a Princeling member of the Central Military Commission—China’s highest military decision-making body— and the commander of the PLA Navy, attended the ceremony.
The media stories also focused heavily on the quality of the pilots that were included in the group. One report stated:
“The personnel of the force are more elite than the aviation forces within the PLA. To be able to fly fighter jets, the pilots should have flown at least five types of aircraft and their flight time must exceed 1,000 hours.
Rich experience in joint drills and major drills is also a prerequisite. The pilots also received training in courses like warship theory, nautical basics, and maritime meteorology.”
It also revealed that the Liaoning, China’s first aircraft carrier, is capable of holding around 30 fixed-wing aircraft, expected to initially be the J-15s.
China has plans to build a second, larger aircraft carrier that is capable of carrying more fighters. In its annual report on China’s military modernization last week, the Pentagon suggested that it believed China would complete this indigenous aircraft carrier within a decade.

Justice Carpio: appeal to world opinion vs Chinese defiance of the rule of law

By ELLEN TORDESILLAS
MALAYA
‘A nation that aspires to be a world power but refuses to follow the Rule of Law is a danger to peace and stability in our world.’
BRP Sierra Madre stuck in Ayungin Shoal, 25 miles from Mischief Reef occupied by the Chinese.
BRP Sierra Madre stuck in Ayungin Shoal, 25 miles from Mischief Reef occupied by the Chinese.
HERE we go again. This time it’s over Ayungin Reef (Ren’ai Reef to the Chinese.)
The Philippine Navy reported sightings of Chinese ships in the vicinity of Ayungin shoal as early as first week of May, the last stretch of the May 13 elections, and before the May 9 incident in Balintang Channel where the Philippine Coast Guard fired upon a Taiwanese fishing vessel and killed one of the fishermen.
The Department of Foreign Affairs filed a diplomatic protest on Chinese on Ayungin shoal May 10.
DFA Spokesman Raul Hernandez said in their protest, they cited “the provocative and illegal presence of the Chinese government ships around Ayungin Shoal.”
He said that “Ayungin Shoal is an integral part of our national territory” stressing that shoal is located 105.77 nautical miles from Palawan and constitutes part of the country’s 200-nautical mile continental shelf as provided under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea.
China, of course, insisted that Ayungin Reef, which they call Ren ‘ai Reef, is theirs being a part of Sansha City, established last June in the southernmost province of Hainan. The Philippines had also protested the inclusion of Macclesfield Field, one of the largest underwater atolls in the world, covering an area of 6,500 square kilometers which is in Philippine territory, under Sansha city.
An article in a Chinese online publication, Global Times, under the headline, “Ren’ai Reef under actual control of China” said, “Wang Xiaopeng, a scholar studying issues pertinent to territorial seas at China’s Academy of Social Sciences, commented that the Chinese Foreign Ministry never made mention of the Ren’ai Reef when, back in April, it released eight Chinese islets and reefs currently seized by the Philippines, which means the Ren’ai Reef is already under China’s actual control.”
The eight islets that the Chinese acknowledged being occupied by the Philippines are Lawak, Patag, Parola, Pag-asa, Kota, Panata, Rizal, Likas.
The article further said: “Ren’ai Reef… is part of the Chinese territory and, an area over which China proclaims sovereignty and vows never to yield an inch to others. “
Obviously, China ignores the fact that in Ayungin shoal, there’s BRP Sierra Madre, a Philippine Navy ship that was purposely beached in the islets following the occupation by China of the Mischief or Panganiban Reef in 1995. Ayungin Reef is 25 miles away from Mischief Reef.
What does the Philippine government do in the face of what many fear is another expansionist act by China in the disputed waters of Spratlys?
Not much really. The Philippines has filed a petition with the United Nations’ Artbitral Court to look, among other issues, into the legality of China’s nine-dash line map, which is the basis for its claim of the whole South China Sea including islands in the territorial waters and exclusive economic zones of the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei and Vietnam.
But the petition has not deterred China from going into disputed areas they consider part of their territory.
Supreme Court Justice Antonio Carpio, in his speech before the graduating class of the Pamantasan ng Lungsod ng Maynila College of Law last week, warned of the dangers of China’s 9-dash line.
“In the case of the Philippines, China’s 9-dash line claim takes away our exclusive economic zone and extended continental shelf in the West Philippine Sea beyond 30 to 50 NM from the baselines of the Philippines. That deprives the Philippines of 80% of its exclusive economic zone, and 100% of its extended continental shelf, in the West Philippine Sea.”
But even Carpio acknowledges the difficulty of enforcing the decision of the U.N Arbitral Court if it’s adverse to China, which has refused to participate in the case.
“So what can the Philippines do?” Justice Carpio asked.
Carpio said “The only remaining recourse for the Philippines is to appeal to world opinion.”
He told the graduates: “As life-long students of the law with an abiding faith in the Rule of Law, it is your mission from now on to help shape world opinion that a nation should follow the Rule of Law if it wants to be accepted as a member and leader of the community of civilized nations. If a nation refuses to comply with the Rule of Law, then it becomes a rogue nation, an outcast in the community of civilized nations where adherence to the Rule of Law is the norm. A nation that aspires to be a world power but refuses to follow the Rule of Law is a danger to peace and stability in our world.”
Carpio said a favorable decision from the arbitral tribunal, and world opinion also in our favor, time will be on the side of the Philippines.
“In matters of sovereign rights among nations, our time horizon should span several decades or even longer. In the battle to defend a nation’s sovereign rights from encroachment by other states, there is no such thing as instant success. Even nations with the Rule of Law and world opinion on their side must persevere for a very long time to succeed,” he said.